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League Season Average Final Scores

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Post by Bad Decisions Fri Jan 27, 2012 6:05 pm

We're about 3/4ths the way through season 2 and I thought I was noticing some big differences in final scores for my games. So I put together a spreadsheet and saw some pretty interesting numbers.

Most of my games this season (Towels Texans) have been blowouts one way or the other: Average spread = 20.45 or about 3 TDs (I'm 6-5)

Two of the top teams in the League (Broncos and Jags) have an even larger gap: Broncos average spread = 22.73 (11-0);
Jags average spread = 22 (10-1)

League-wide it isn't much closer: Average spread through 11 weeks = 15.1 or over 2 TDs

Now what I find most interesting is that after a full season of getting used to your teams, making trades, fiddling with the depth chart, and drafting to fill holes, we are actually trending towards a WIDER average point spread when compared to last year.

Season 1 Average spread = 14.44 or just about 2 TDs
Season 1 Average spread through 11 weeks = 13.64 or just under 2 TDs

We are already ahead of the average for all of Season 1 and are even further ahead when compared to this point last season.

What do these stats tell you? What do you thing is the reason for the slowly widening gap in final scores? Does this concern you at all, or do you think this is much ado about nothing? Have you had a completely different experience? To any Scarves out there, are you experiencing the same spread? Has the gap widened or narrowed year over year? Discuss amongst yourselves.

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Post by RealJeffSolo Fri Jan 27, 2012 6:13 pm

This is total conspiracy theory nut job on my part, but I played much better in S1 with what I would consider a lesser roster. I think they IMPLEMENTED TUNER SETS and never told anyone. I think the game has changed.

The truth is out there.
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Post by toddzuniga Fri Jan 27, 2012 6:33 pm

I don't think it's a conspiracy at all. I think the passing is SO difficult in this game, that if you're down, and need to comeback, you're kind of fucked. You have to play conservatively, and you have to run the ball, and throwing deep is VERY difficult. There's something to this, absolutely.

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Post by RealJeffSolo Fri Jan 27, 2012 7:01 pm

Well maybe thats it then. I knew my QB was bad in S1, so I threw it less and in less risky situations. In S2 I had Phillip Rivers and I trusted he could do better. Which I found he could not.
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Post by mikesuszek Sat Jan 28, 2012 12:36 am

It's impossible for them to implement tuner sets without us knowing.
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Post by RealJeffSolo Sat Jan 28, 2012 12:38 am

Nothing is impossible in a conspiracy theory.

The greys did it! Or the Jews! Its a conspiracy, reason has no place here!

BWAHAHA
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Post by mikesuszek Sat Jan 28, 2012 12:40 am

I could lock the thread because it just got stupid.

I'd rather let it float back to the actual topic. Interesting find as far as the point spreads go.
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